• 油价上涨,全球能源秩序彻底乱了?

      发布时间:2026-04-11 02:42:28   作者:玩站小弟   我要评论
           黄宏消失的那几年,大伙儿都以为他“出事了”。 。
    \u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e伊朗局势还在发酵,不确定性正向各个领域蔓延,首当其冲的就是能源。尤其是\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_0--\u003e霍尔木兹海峡\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_0--\u003e——这条全球能源的“大动脉”,其任何风吹草动,都会在第一时间引发市场的连锁反应。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e我们如何保障一份“确定性”的安全?\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_0--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e这几天,一组数据引发关注:\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e霍尔木兹海峡承担着全球五分之一的石油运输总量,全球液化天然气贸易的五分之一。其中,日本约80%的油轮须经过该海峡,中国进口原油超40%须经过该海峡。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e有分析师说,如果冲突持续,这些国家“没有能力缓冲这样的冲击”。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e潜台词是,不管海峡有没有被完全物理关闭,安全风险已让绝大多数国际油轮不敢或不愿通过。海湾国家生产的石油都运不出来,这些能源进口国直接面临严重缺口。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e真的这么简单吗?\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_0--\u003e北京外国语大学\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_0--\u003e教授王旭专门研究海上通道,她告诉谭主:\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e长期封锁霍尔木兹海峡不仅负面影响广泛,而且无论从政治上还是从经济上都不符合伊朗的利益。正因如此,历史上,该海峡从未被长期切断,这次伊朗在封锁海峡问题上的表态和操作也折射出这种客观现实。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e另外,从“\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_1--\u003e能源生存\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_1--\u003e”的角度看,即便离开霍尔木兹海峡,全球供应和经济运行也不会戛然中断,海峡风险真正冲击的,是全球经济的运行成本、增长预期等涉及发展的更高维度问题。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_1--\u003e中东\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_1--\u003e石油出口国已经在布局绕开海峡的通道。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(171, 25, 66)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 122, 170)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e沙特的东西管道。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e从阿布盖格原油处理中心直达\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_2--\u003e红海\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_2--\u003e延布港,设计运力每日500万桶,核心功能就是把原油送到红海出口,从而绕开霍尔木兹海峡。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(171, 25, 66)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 122, 170)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e阿联酋阿布扎比管道。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e从哈布山油田直达东海岸富查伊拉港,设计运力每日150万桶,同样是为了在必要时绕开霍尔木兹海峡。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection style=\"-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-size: 17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px 8px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; orphans: 2; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; visibility: visible; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: transparent\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_1--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e与此同时,经好望角航线、丹麦海峡、\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_3--\u003e土耳其海峡\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_3--\u003e、巴拿马运河等通道的运输量在上升,非海湾产区的供给也在提高。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e这些路线虽无法完全取代霍尔木兹海峡,但可缓解短期压力。它也说明,如今,全球能源格局正在朝着分散多元化的方向演进。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_2--\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e具体看能源进口国的情况:\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e如何在面对不确定性时,发挥出快速恢复的能力,来保障风险可对冲?\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e谭主梳理后发现,\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e中国已经在建立系统性缓冲与适应能力\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e比如\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e通过\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_2--\u003e多元化进口\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_2--\u003e,消解“咽喉困境”。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e中国原油进口来源国\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e已达49个。同时,整个能源运输通道高度多元化\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e:\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003chr style=\"-webkit-transform: scale(1, 0.5); -webkit-transform-origin: 0 0; border-color: rgba(0,0,0,0.1); border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 0 0; transform: scale(1, 0.5); transform-origin: 0 0\"/\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 16px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(171, 25, 66)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 122, 170)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e中俄、中哈、中缅三条陆上原油管道,有效分散了海运风险;\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 16px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(171, 25, 66)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 122, 170)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e中俄东线天然气管道年输气量已达380亿立方米,未来的“西伯利亚力量2号”还将带来每年500亿立方米的增量;\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(171, 25, 66)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(0, 122, 170)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e|\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_3--\u003e北极航道\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_3--\u003e未来的常态化运营,让我们可以绕开传统的航道,缩短航程的同时,避开中东地缘火药桶。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003chr style=\"-webkit-transform: scale(1, 0.5); -webkit-transform-origin: 0 0; border-color: rgba(0,0,0,0.1); border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 0 0; transform: scale(1, 0.5); transform-origin: 0 0\"/\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e这种多元化布局不仅是为了应对“断供”,更是为了扩大\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e议价权\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e——谁能掌握更灵活的运输路径,谁就更有可能对冲特定地理节点的脆弱性,在市场动荡中对冲风险溢价,确保能源进口的综合成本处于战略安全区间。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e除了建设自身防线,更为关键的,是真正参与海上安全治理合作,从底层规则上推动地缘政治博弈的变化。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e这种规则上的引领并非空中楼阁,而是植根于中国独特的大国政治影响力。一个细节是,三个多月前,中国常驻国际海事组织代表处正式揭牌,标志着中国开始深度参与全球海洋规则的顶层设计。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e这种影响力在危机时刻有着极为务实的体现。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e谭主发现,最近几天,一些船只仍平稳地通过了霍尔木兹海峡。其中一艘,在通行期间,将自动识别系统(AIS)的目的地信息从“待定”改为“中国船东” 。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e“通行红利”,正是政治影响力的客观体现。它证明了由中国来主张沟通和协商不是虚招,而是能实实在在降低航运风险的“硬通货”。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.544px\"\u003e王旭告诉谭主,全球海上通道安全利益不可分割,需要开展国际合作,中国是安全治理的重要贡献者,被世界期待着发挥更大作用。如果安全形势进一步恶化,中国可以考虑在国际多边机制框架下协调能源进出口各方,发起一种更具包容性的\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_BEGIN_4--\u003e联合护航机制\u003c!--VERTICAL_CARD_END_4--\u003e。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 17px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e在这场能源韧性的终极测试中,中国不仅是\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e参与者\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e,更是\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e建设者。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"background-color: rgba(146, 185, 221, 0.2)\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.5px\"\u003e这不仅是大国的担当,更是对“韧性”二字最有力的诠释。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 0px\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cdiv powered-by=\"ex-editor\"\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cstyle\u003e.rich_media_content{--news-tabel-th-night-color: #444444;--news-font-day-color: #333;--news-font-night-color: #d9d9d9;--news-bottom-distance: 22px}.rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-day-color);font-size:18px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]):not(.qn-editor-copy){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content p[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]{margin-bottom:11px}.rich_media_content\u003ediv:not(.qnt-video),.rich_media_content\u003esection{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content hr{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content .link_list{margin:0;margin-top:20px;min-height:0!important}.rich_media_content blockquote{background:#f9f9f9;border-left:6px solid #ccc;margin:1.5em 10px;padding:.5em 10px}.rich_media_content blockquote p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]{--ol-start: 1;--ol-list-style-type: decimal;list-style-type:none;counter-reset:olCounter calc(var(--ol-start,1) - 1);position:relative}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:counter(olCounter,var(--ol-list-style-type)) '. 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